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economic outlook

The U.S. Economy and Prospering Carolinas

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on September 27, 2025

With fall approaching and football upon us, our national economy continues to respond to almost daily policy shocks as the Trump administration constantly unveils major changes.[1]  Federal departments are being shuttered, a global trade war is underway, thousands of undocumented workers are being arrested, jailed and deported, and the economy is still adjusting to shocks…

Topics: Economic Development, Featured
economic outlook

The Mid-Year Roller Coaster Economy

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on June 23, 2025

As we approach mid-year, this is a good time to assess the economic situation.  First, we will focus on the nation. Then, the Carolinas. As indicated in the next chart, the latest Commerce Department estimate for first quarter GDP growth for the nation shows negative growth. I point out that the estimate was troubled by…

Topics: Featured, People
economic outlook, Tariffs

Trump Uncertainty and Prospects for the 2025 Economy

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on March 2, 2025

In office just over a month, Donald J. Trump is delivering on his promises and disrupting the national, if not the world economy.  He promised border enforcement, deportations, tariffs, lower taxes and “draining the D.C. swamp” of federal workers and expenditures.  He is delivering on these promises and more. But almost always there are delays,…

Topics: Business, Featured
economic outlook

The Year Ahead: The Economic Situation and Prospects for the Carolinas

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on December 16, 2024

Election Day is behind us and though not in office until January, President-elect Trump is already taking action to deliver on his campaign promises. Along with stated plans to deport illegal immigrants, cut taxes, and bring about an early end to war in Ukraine and Gaza, “Tariff man,” as he likes to style himself, has…

Topics: Business, Featured, People
construction industry outlook, economic outlook

Football Season, Election Season, and the Economic Outlook

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on September 10, 2024

With September’s arrival, those who love college football are again enjoying tailgating, touchdowns, the sound of marching bands, and crowds cheering and singing their alma mater. Hope for a conference championship reigns supreme. Nothing beats winning.[1] And then those who get their thrills from politics, cheering crowds, music, and political cheerleaders can enjoy an endless…

Topics: Featured, People
Construction Economy, economic outlook

The U.S. Economy and the Carolinas at Mid-Year

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on July 8, 2024

Special to GroundBreak Carolinas: Dr. Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University, shares economic insight for construction leaders in the Carolinas. Getting Started: The Current Picture With 2024 at the halfway mark, we find a national economy registering a low pulse-beat and an improved outllook on the inflation front. First quarter real…

Topics: Featured, People
Construction Outlook, economic outlook

Looking for New Life in the National and Regional Economy

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on April 15, 2024

Every year April brings beautiful images of new life, but this time we are also getting positive readings on the U.S. and regional economies.  With the closing of 2023, we learned that real GDP growth for the nation perked along at a 2.5% rate, well above 2022’s 1.9% and a far cry from constant calls…

Topics: Featured, People
Construction Outlook, economic outlook

The 2023 Year-End Economy and the Road Ahead

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on November 27, 2023

With horrible wars underway in the Middle East and Ukraine, a strong dose of compartmentalization is required to focus attention on the prospects for the economy.  But if we are to make a difference to those in devastated places, it will be necessary for us to make the best of our own situation, to try…

Topics: Business, Featured
Construction Outlook, Economic Forecast, economic outlook

The US Economy at Mid-Year: What about the Next Six Months?

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on June 2, 2023

At this 2023 mid-point, a close look at the U.S. economy reveals uncertainty, bumps in the road ahead, and an economy that is so shot full of federal government intervention and stimulus that it is difficult to determine what is real and what is artificial.[1] Some but not all of this is understandable.  After all,…

Topics: Business, Featured
Construction Outlook, economic outlook

The Fed Hits the Brakes and Construction Takes it on the Chin

by Bruce Yandle, Alumni Distinguished Professor of Economics Emeritus, Clemson University on November 27, 2022

News that October existing home sales fell once more, giving a period of decline dating back to January 2022, is a reminder that when the Fed hits the brakes, it is housing and the construction economy that feels the sharpest pain.  As National Association of Realtors chief economist Lawrence Yun put it: “More potential homebuyers…

Topics: Business, Featured
Bruce Yandle, Construction Economy, Construction Outlook, economic outlook

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